Raoul Pal engagement report
@RaoulGMI - 1.5M followers on X
Measured over 61 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on August 31, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 836 interactions against 1.5M followers, an engagement rate of 0.056%. Measured over 61 original posts, its engagement rate beats 76% of 3,758 tracked accounts of a similar size. Comparing inside a size band matters here: engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly just re-measure the follower count. Posts are seen about 106K times each, and 0.787% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 7.12% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 3.9 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 17:00 UTC, and Thursday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 61 posts sampled, 80% carry an image or video, 57% are part of a thread and 11% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 4.6K interactions, about 5.5x its own typical post.
Measured over 61 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on August 31, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
Raoul Pal's engagement rate beats 76% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,758 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 10 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 50% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.056%, Raoul Pal sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,261 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.012% to 0.08%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.002% |
| 25th percentile | 0.012% |
| 50th percentile | 0.08% |
| 75th percentile | 0.431% |
| 90th percentile | 2.10% |
| 99th percentile | 160.7% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 17:00 UTC, and Thursday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 50K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 51K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 50K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 53K |
| 04:00 UTC | -6% | 43K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 42K |
| 06:00 UTC | -4% | 48K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 51K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 60K |
| 09:00 UTC | -3% | 69K |
| 10:00 UTC | -2% | 71K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 78K |
| 12:00 UTC | -2% | 86K |
| 13:00 UTC | -2% | 93K |
| 14:00 UTC | -3% | 96K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 97K |
| 17:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 18:00 UTC | -1% | 84K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 79K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 74K |
| 21:00 UTC | -1% | 66K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 57K |
| 23:00 UTC | -2% | 51K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +4% | 229K |
| Monday | 0% | 284K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 273K |
| Wednesday | -1% | 250K |
| Thursday | -2% | 243K |
| Friday | -3% | 251K |
| Saturday | +3% | 226K |
Best tweets
- Aug 18, 20265.5x their median
Claude appears to be utterly unusable today. I've wasted hours and any task takes half an hour to do. His reasoning is flawed and it's not doing things and it's missing everything it was supposed to do. @AnthropicAI @claudeai opus 5 is a clusterfuck and Fable 5 is a horror story of expense. I'm hardly a heavy user in the general scheme of things but I blow through my weekly allowance of credits by Monday. This has to get sorted out. they need more inference and fast or they're gonna lose a lot of customers.
- Aug 26, 20265.1x their median
CZ said it better than anyone: "The currency for AI is crypto. AI is not gonna swipe a card, enter an SMS code. That doesn't work for AI." That was our conversation at Token2049 in Dubai last year. Every month since has made it truer... more agents arriving, all needing to hold value, receive value and move it without a person in the loop. Think about what those payments actually look like. Instant and tiny, thousands of them a second, between counterparties that are not human. Two day bank settlement doesn't work for that. Card rails don't work for that. Theres only one set of rails on earth built for that. Its staggeringly clear.
- Aug 20, 20264.3x their median
The Bessent Put Today the US Treasury doubled the size of its long-end bond buybacks, the day after the 30-year yield hit a 19-year high at 5.33%. The extra dollars are small. The signal is enormous. For the first time, the fiscal authority, not the Fed, stepped in to defend the long end within 24 hours of the highs. There is now a put under the long bond, and the market has just been told the top of the range... Look at the plumbing underneath it... The buybacks pull old, illiquid bonds off dealer balance sheets and get funded at the front end with bills, which the banking system absorbs. Duration out, money-like paper in. Lower long-end volatility raises the collateral value of every Treasury in the repo system, which is itself a liquidity easing. And the QRA language quietly changed two weeks ago to allow exactly this. It isn't happening in isolation. This month's joint yen intervention was about stopping Japan from ever becoming a forced seller of Treasuries, and the new dollar swap lines across Asia and the Gulf keep the region's dollar debts rolling, with China the ultimate beneficiary. A weaker dollar is the tool that brings the big foreign buyers, Japan and eventually China, back to the long end. Supply managed on one side, demand rebuilt on the other. With a long end now potentially anchored, the steepening of the curve should come from Warsh, who will probably deliver his part of the grand bargain between the Fed and the Treasury. All of this is to fund the hyperscaler capex along with government debt. For the first time since the GFC both public and private debt as a % of GDP are growing and both are vital. This is the everything code fully at play and brings together many threads I've been talking about for the last two years. The debt must be serviced and liquidity, by whichever mechanism they can route it, is the method. Financial conditions started easing through both legs at once today, and financial conditions are the first domino in the sequence we have been mapping all year. To be warned this is not an instant liquidity flood happening right now. This is the entire scaffolding being set up for the much larger game. The Great Game is the funding of the aging population along with the funding of the new demographic of AI and robots. Both games are too big and too important to stop. The funding of the the intelligence build out is the most important game of all time. It is too big to fail. The full Flash Update is coming for GMI and RV Pro members came out earlier today: the full mechanism, the 2011 and 1940s precedents, what it likely means for every asset class, and what would prove the thesis wrong. Overall today was a big marker point on a story that I've been predicting for many years and have the receipts to prove it. The outcome is always MOAR COWBELL!
- Aug 15, 20264.2x their median
It's all so fucking obvious and people are still desperate to trade it away. Look at everything that's happening right now… Banks and asset managers are moving their products onto blockchain rails and everywhere you look people are building AI agents. Liquidity is flowing, the Clarity Act is coming and the geopolitical noise looks like it might finally settle. It's all right in front of us. And the correct move is the boring one. Buy a handful of the highest-quality L1s, the ones capturing the real economic activity, and hold. That's the whole game right there. The people trying to be clever and trade this cycle are the ones who’ll eventually blow this up. The only way to lose from here is to overthink it.
- Aug 27, 20263.7x their median
We've been cooking this for 2 years. HOW TO NAVIGATE THE SINGULARITY - trailer A washed-up news anchor befriends an AI orangutan. S.A.N (@MycelialOracle) is real: TED, beside the Man at Burning Man, Rainforest Foundation US board. All shot IRL on cinema cameras. No gen video. https://t.co/caVvyoTj8r
- Aug 14, 20263.5x their median
Everything's coming onchain. Stablecoins, RWAs… the whole financial system is rebuilding itself on crypto rails. And the way you own that is stupidly simple. Just buy the L1s it all runs on. This is the universal basic equity layer for all of us. If the biggest parts of the economy get handed to AI and agents, and they transact on crypto rails, then owning the L1s means you own a piece of their success. We never got that with the internet. Retail never got handed a slice of the plumbing. This time it's just sitting there, listed. There's no excuse not to do this.
- Aug 28, 20262.9x their median
Ok, so..I'm convinced. Grok Bot @bot is sheer wizardry. So fast, so competent, excellent reasoning and smart too, super eager, and more than that, just so fucking easy to use. Fable 5 gave me this feeling with its wizard level skills where everything complex and beyond my skills becomes easy (but stupid expensive). Grok Bot does the same in a different way. Literally from opening it up to having an agent do useful work in 2 mins. Mind blown.
- Aug 22, 20262.5x their median
This is a chart that I watch closely. Bitcoin got over two standard deviations oversold versus Nasdaq and is now sharply moving higher. Let's see but I think over time crypto should outperform the Nasdaq over time. Secular trends like this are super helpful in asset allocation https://t.co/ih4nBuPh9J
- Aug 6, 20261.9x their median
It takes me 3 days to move my money from the Caymans to the US. The plumbing of our economy was built for humans with KYC checks, bank hours, weekend closures, and correspondent banks all taking their cut of the wait. Now imagine an AI agent trying to run a business on that... a machine can't use a bank. So the agents will get their own plumbing, and it'll look nothing like the old one. They’ll have wallets instead of accounts and final settlement in hundreds of milliseconds. Built for an economy where nobody sleeps, takes vacations, or goes for a walk in the park. That's why we built the smart contract platforms a decade ago, and we didn't even know it. So the invisible economy would have rails that could move at machine speed. We can't stop it. It's too late for that... But we can own the plumbing it runs on.
- Aug 22, 20261.8x their median
Zcash is one hell of a chart... I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. Just kept adding all into the big sell offs and hold, comfy in spot and let the game play out over time. Patience in a secular trend almost always wins if you can manage your emotions. https://t.co/KxTnbfs1QH
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
Buy or sell X accounts - escrow-protected
PlayerSells is an escrow marketplace for X accounts. Every deal is protected, with no middleman risk.
Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 836 interactions against 1.5M followers, an engagement rate of 0.056%. Measured over 61 original posts, its engagement rate beats 76% of 3,758 tracked accounts of a similar size. Comparing inside a size band matters here: engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly just re-measure the follower count. Posts are seen about 106K times each, and 0.787% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 7.12% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 3.9 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 17:00 UTC, and Thursday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 61 posts sampled, 80% carry an image or video, 57% are part of a thread and 11% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 4.6K interactions, about 5.5x its own typical post.
- What is Raoul Pal's engagement rate on X?
- Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) has an engagement rate of 0.056%, based on the median interactions across 61 original posts from the last 30 days against 1,492,148 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.056%, Raoul Pal sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,261 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @RaoulGMI have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 76% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,758 accounts), which puts it in the top quarter for its size group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @RaoulGMI post?
- Most posts go out around 17:00 UTC, and Thursday is its busiest day, at roughly 3.9 posts per day across the measured window.