Mark Minervini engagement report

Best tweets

• Aug 27, 20263.5x their median

  Quote of the Day In trading, closing many trades that would have gone higher if you had held is a necessary part of succeeding. When you reach a crossroads and have to decide whether to hold or fold, amateurs tend to roll the dice and hold. Pros usually play it safe and fold. — Mark Minervini

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• Aug 19, 20263.1x their median

  The hard rotation in technology is wreaking havoc on many recent breakout names. A number of former leaders that suffered significant declines rallied quickly back up their right sides, but that rapid recovery created another problem: technical time compression combined with substantial overhead supply. When a stock suffers a large decline and then races back up in a quick V recovery, it may look strong on the surface, but the structure underneath can still be vulnerable to sharp volatility. There simply hasn't been enough time for the stock to properly repair the technical damage, shake out weak holders, and work through the supply created during the prior decline. We're seeing the consequences of that now as some of these stocks experience sharp pullbacks. The question is what happens next. Do these former leaders find support, tighten up and begin constructing legitimate right sides to their bases? Or is the current weakness the beginning of another leg lower and a continuation of the correction? At this stage, there is no reason to guess. The best course of action is to avoid questionable structures that haven't had sufficient time to develop proper pivots. A stock moving rapidly back toward its highs does not automatically mean it has built a sound base or offers a low-risk entry. Particular caution should be exercised with stocks that have suffered declines of 45% or greater in a relatively short period and then rallied rapidly back into overhead supply. These situations can produce powerful rebounds, but they can also create significant volatility as trapped shareholders use the strength to get out near breakeven. Let the stocks prove themselves. The strongest names will absorb the supply, hold important support levels, tighten their price action and eventually present properly developed setups. If they can't do that, there is no reason to force the trade and play right into the hands of volatility. Time is an important ingredient in technical repair. Don't confuse a fast recovery with a completed base, and don't confuse volatility with alpha. https://t.co/FfBnR93ojq https://t.co/TFyCpPHZis https://t.co/JXzFFTmMtn

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• Aug 15, 20262.3x their median

  It’s impossible to live without failing at something, unless you live so cautiously you might as well not have lived at all. - J.K. Rowling

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• Aug 28, 20262.2x their median

  Don’t Fight the Fed. Don’t Fight the Tape. The Federal Reserve appears increasingly likely to be on a tightening course, with potentially one or two rate hikes ahead. The probability of a hike at the next meeting is currently around 55%, and much of that risk may already be discounted in the market. Still, the larger point shouldn’t be overlooked: the Fed is leaning toward tightening, not easing. There are two old market rules I still respect deeply: Don’t fight the Fed, and don’t fight the tape. Right now, those two signals are somewhat at odds. The Fed is becoming a potential headwind, while the tape remains relatively bullish. The major indexes are holding up well, and certain areas of the market continue to advance. But beneath the surface, participation is clearly thinning and the market is becoming increasingly fragmented. That distinction matters. Some of the leadership we had been looking to in the AI space—particularly companies tied to the data-center buildout—is beginning to encounter resistance. At the same time, a negative political narrative around data centers has been developing. Meanwhile, money continues to gravitate toward the largest, most established companies. $FNGS is rallying as investors seek the relative safety of mega-cap companies with proven earnings power. That can keep the indexes looking healthy even while conditions underneath become considerably more challenging. A narrowing market is not necessarily an immediately bearish market, but it is a more difficult market to trade. When participation contracts, fewer stocks respond favorably, breakouts become less dependable, and stock selection becomes increasingly important because the market is simply not lifting all boats. Add to that the seasonal backdrop. September has historically been the weakest month of the year. For now, the tape still gets the benefit of the doubt. But this is not an environment for complacency. I continue to hold select longs, most of which are profitable trades that I've owned but are still respecting stops. As far as a catalysts, I'm keeping a keen eye on the 10-year yield, which is at a very important level. Should the 10-year breakout to the upside (especially above 5%), that would likely put the market in a challenging position going into September. Why do I think the 10-year yield at an important level and a breakout to the upside would be bearish? Because right now most expect the Fed to tighten 25 basis points one or two times. However, it's not of the common opinion that the Fed is behind the curve. If interest rates keep rising, that will be an indication that the Fed is falling behind the curve and they may have to tighten more aggressively. So the 10-year right could be a key catalyst, in my opinion. https://t.co/JXzFFTmMtn

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• Aug 24, 20261.9x their median

  My self quote of the day: Where fundamentals fail, charts speak. -Mark Minervini

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• Feb 6, 20261.7x their median

  There are two primary reasons our members and alumni dominate the U.S. Investing Championship year after year. First, we have the experience, tools, and a proven process to guide them in an environment that fosters real growth of knowledge and skill. Second—and just as important—we care. Your success is personal to us. https://t.co/JXzFFTnkiV https://t.co/FfBnR93W8Y

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• Aug 31, 20261.7x their median

  The S&P 500 Cycle Composite—which blends the one-year seasonal cycle, four-year presidential cycle, and 10-year decennial cycle—is now entering what historically has been its most challenging stretch of the year. The composite points to a period of increased vulnerability from roughly mid-August through early October, before conditions improve and the historical pattern turns more decisively higher into year-end. I normally view seasonal and cycle work as context rather than a trading signal. The market is ultimately going to trade on the weight of the evidence in front of us, and price action always takes precedence over a historical composite. But cycle work becomes more meaningful when several independent factors begin pointing in the same direction. That's what makes the current setup worth paying attention to. We are entering the historically weak September period at the same time that interest rates appear poised to turn higher (the short end of the curve has already turned up). Meanwhile, oil looks as though it may be troughing, and the Energy Relative Strength Cycle Composite is approaching a period in which the historical cycle begins to favor improving Energy leadership. Rising oil prices and rising interest rates occurring together would represent a much different backdrop than falling yields and benign energy costs. Both can tighten financial conditions and pressure areas of the market that have benefited from lower rates and subdued inflation expectations. This is why I think the cycle work could carry more significance than it would on its own. It's not simply that "September is historically weak." We potentially have three forces converging: a seasonal/cyclical headwind for the broad market, an emerging cyclical tailwind for Energy, and the prospect of higher interest rates. When independent pieces of evidence begin confirming one another, I pay closer attention. None of this means the market has to correct. Cycles identify tendencies, not certainties. If the tape remains constructive and leading stocks continue to act well, price action gets the final vote. But with September seasonality, oil and interest rates potentially turning higher at roughly the same time, I would not dismiss the historical cycle message. The convergence is the message—and right now, it argues for keeping risk tight and letting the market prove that it can overcome these developing headwinds.

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• Aug 27, 20261.6x their median

  Expertise in trading comes largely from understanding how winning traders win—but even more importantly, understanding how losing traders lose, and learning to avoid the pitfalls created by misguided human instincts.

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• Aug 27, 20261.6x their median

  The rally in $NVDA is impressive so far today, but the broader action in technology is much less convincing. One stock—even a market heavyweight like Nvidia—doesn't make a healthy tape. In fact, early today only 161 S&P 500 stocks were advancing, with Nvidia effectively accounting for the index's entire gain. I think we still need to remain cautious going into September with its seasonal headwinds directly ahead. I would like to see better participation, stronger leadership and improved tape action across tech. Before concluding we are out of the woods, let's see how we close today and what subsequent follow through days look like. https://t.co/JXzFFTmMtn

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• Aug 30, 20261.5x their median

  Apathy is a tradgedy. Be curious. Be open to new ideas. Try new things. The mind is like a book... it's only good when it's open.

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