Nate Silver engagement report
@NateSilver538 - 3.0M followers on X
Measured over 70 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on September 1, 2026.
Engagement
A typical post picks up 586 interactions against 3.0M followers, an engagement rate of 0.019%. Measured over 70 original posts, its engagement rate beats 57% of 3,739 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 194K times each, and 0.302% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 6.38% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 5.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 70 posts sampled, 31% carry an image or video, 36% are part of a thread and 23% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 27K interactions, about 46x its own typical post.
Measured over 70 original posts from a 30-day window, last computed on September 1, 2026.
Compared with accounts its own size
Nate Silver's engagement rate beats 57% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,739 accounts, accounts of similar size (decile 10 of 10)). A percentile is spread evenly by construction, so 50 really is the middle of that group and 90 really is its top tenth.
On engagement per impression rather than per follower it beats 27% of the same group. When those two numbers disagree, the gap is about how far its posts travel rather than how people react to them.
Where this sits in the catalog
At 0.019%, Nate Silver sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,378 accounts in this comparison. That places it in the below the median band, which runs 0.012% to 0.08%.
Show the percentile table
| Percentile | Engagement rate |
|---|---|
| 10th percentile | 0.002% |
| 25th percentile | 0.012% |
| 50th percentile | 0.08% |
| 75th percentile | 0.432% |
| 90th percentile | 2.10% |
| 99th percentile | 161.0% |
This ruler is the whole measured catalog, not a size-matched group: it shows where the raw rate falls across every account we can measure, all of which are large. For a like-for-like comparison, read the size-band percentile above instead. See how the bands are built
Posting timing
This account posts most often around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day of the week. The bars below are the catalog-wide pattern, with this account's own busiest slot marked. They do not show how this account performs at each hour: we keep one aggregate per account, not one per hour, so that measurement does not exist in our data.
Show engagement by hour posted, utc as a table
| Hour (UTC) | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | -1% | 50K |
| 01:00 UTC | -2% | 51K |
| 02:00 UTC | -3% | 50K |
| 03:00 UTC | -4% | 53K |
| 04:00 UTC | -6% | 43K |
| 05:00 UTC | -4% | 42K |
| 06:00 UTC | -4% | 48K |
| 07:00 UTC | -5% | 52K |
| 08:00 UTC | -4% | 60K |
| 09:00 UTC | -3% | 69K |
| 10:00 UTC | -2% | 72K |
| 11:00 UTC | -3% | 78K |
| 12:00 UTC | -2% | 86K |
| 13:00 UTC | -2% | 94K |
| 14:00 UTC | -4% | 97K |
| 15:00 UTC | -2% | 100K |
| 16:00 UTC | -3% | 97K |
| 17:00 UTC | -2% | 90K |
| 18:00 UTC | -1% | 84K |
| 19:00 UTC | -2% | 79K |
| 20:00 UTC | -1% | 74K |
| 21:00 UTC | -1% | 66K |
| 22:00 UTC | -2% | 57K |
| 23:00 UTC | -2% | 51K |
Show engagement by day of week as a table
| Day | Vs author median | Posts |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday | +4% | 230K |
| Monday | 0% | 286K |
| Tuesday | -2% | 276K |
| Wednesday | -1% | 251K |
| Thursday | -1% | 244K |
| Friday | -3% | 252K |
| Saturday | +3% | 227K |
Best tweets
- Aug 7, 202646x their median
BREAKING: Kawhi Leonard had a hidden, multimillion-dollar "sponsorship" with Clippers' scoreboard-maker, sources tell @PabloTorre. "It was 1,000% a way to circumvent the salary cap," insider says. In our investigation, Daktronics' Ballmer-linked crisis firm raises NBA probe ⤵️ https://t.co/LU1AeBAF44
- Aug 3, 202628x their median
Leaked memo shows Republicans privately see Francesca Hong as "uniquely dangerous" in the general election & that “more moderate and establishment Democratic alternatives would likely produce lower base motivation and depressed turnout": https://t.co/vQRDU8hxox
- Aug 27, 202616x their median
Gulf of America didn't even bother me so much but Lake America sounds like a waterslide park where everyone gets tetanus.
- Aug 5, 202615x their median
Michigan has open primaries. Mike Rogers had the nomination locked. How many Republicans voted for Stevens?
- Aug 17, 202612x their median
Rare unironic life advice. It can be great for many people but if you're on the fence about whether to go to some sort of graduate school, i.e. you don't have something fairly specific you're trying to accomplish, probably don't. A much worse value proposition than 20 years ago.
- Aug 5, 20267.7x their median
The vibes on Abdul El-Sayed twitter would be a lot different right now if there hadn’t been a week of polling priming everyone for a blowout. Nothing in the race has actually gone that horrible for him yet, he’s just not getting “double digit mandate” numbers.
- Aug 9, 20266.7x their median
Much has been said about a "downwardly-mobile educated class" powering progressive candidates, and Michigan makes it about as clear as it gets. https://t.co/ucwuAQvGRc
- Aug 17, 20265.3x their median
As suspected, that last minute Hong +23 poll from that mysterious polling organization turned out to be literally a fake poll as part of a social experiment! https://t.co/VwgxwLcU70
- Aug 12, 20265.1x their median
Hong might come back, but wtf is up with these primary polls? https://t.co/sPdEhG2Iyl
- Aug 19, 20265.1x their median
OK, model updated! We have good news and bad news, depending on which party you're rooting for. The good news for Dems: El-Sayed is now ahead in our Michigan polling average. https://t.co/qOO4pVAQRk
Ranked by total interactions across everything we have tracked for this account, which is a longer history than the 30-day window the rates above use. The multiple compares each post to this account's own median.
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Reading these numbers
A typical post picks up 586 interactions against 3.0M followers, an engagement rate of 0.019%. Measured over 70 original posts, its engagement rate beats 57% of 3,739 tracked accounts of a similar size, which puts it in the middle of its size range rather than at either end. Posts are seen about 194K times each, and 0.302% of those impressions turn into an interaction. That is about 6.38% of the follower count, which is the gap between an audience on paper and an audience in a timeline. Posting runs at about 5.6 posts a day over the last 30 days, with activity on almost every day in the window. Most posts go out around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is the busiest day of the week. Of the 70 posts sampled, 31% carry an image or video, 36% are part of a thread and 23% link out. The account's strongest tracked post pulled 27K interactions, about 46x its own typical post.
- What is Nate Silver's engagement rate on X?
- Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) has an engagement rate of 0.019%, based on the median interactions across 70 original posts from the last 30 days against 3,040,211 followers. Replies, reposts and quote-posts of other people are excluded from that sample.
- Is that a good engagement rate?
- At 0.019%, Nate Silver sits above the 25th percentile of the 36,378 accounts in this comparison. Those comparison accounts are all large ones, because our scanning cadence is weighted towards big accounts, so this is a ranking among peers of similar scale rather than a ranking across X.
- Does @NateSilver538 have real engagement?
- Its engagement rate beats 57% of the tracked X accounts closest to it in follower count (3,739 accounts), which puts it in the middle of its size range group. Ranking inside a size band matters because engagement rate falls as accounts grow, so a raw rate would mostly re-measure the follower count. It is a starting point for a look at follower quality, not a verdict on it.
- When does @NateSilver538 post?
- Most posts go out around 19:00 UTC, and Wednesday is its busiest day, at roughly 5.6 posts per day across the measured window.